Unit of Spatial Planning and Regional Development

STRAND 1: Theoretical Bases for Foresight Methodologies	Emergence, replication and anticipation in social systems Learning methodology from foresight in practice Workshop: Paths to methodological development in foresight and futures, what is needed now?
STRAND 2: Identifying Seeds of Change	Windows on the seeds of change Struggling with systemic approaches Framing perspectives on futures Experimenting futures and emergence Workshop on Futures literacy Cases on envisioning futures
STRAND 3: Integrating Narratives and Numbers	Theorizing about Foresight Methodology System Content Issues Approaches and Tools Empirical Applications
STRAND 4: Interactions between Researchers, Decision Makers and the Public	Policy and Decision Learning and Knowledge Dissemination Context Vision

CONFERENCE PROGRAMME

July 9 (Day One)

08.30-09.30	Registration

09.30-13.00	Plenary

09-30 – 10.30	Chair: Welcome Welcome Welcome to the Final Conference of COST A22	Prof. Maria Giaoutzi Prof. Moutzouris C. - Rector NTUA Prof. Marinos Kavouras – Dean of the School of Rural and Surveying Engineering Prof. Ted Fuller – COST A22 - Chairman Dr. Peter De Smedt – COST A22 – Secretary Ministry of Development – General Secretary of Research and Development
10.30 – 11:00	Chair Introduction to the COST A22	Nicolaos Konstantopoulos – Bartolomeo Sapio Ted Fuller
11.00-11:20	Working Group zero (WG0)	Foresight methodologies; creative tension between disciplines and application Ted Fuller
11:20 – 11.40	Working Group one (WG1)	In search of converging signals on seeds of change methodologies. Pierre Rossel
11.40-12.00	Coffee break
12.00-12:20	Chair: Working Group two (WG2)	Nicolaos Konstantopoulos – Zia Zardar Commensurability in methods for exploring futures Maria Giaoutzi
12:20-12:40	Working Group three (WG3)	The creation of futures from purposeful interaction Kristian Borch
12:40 – 13:00	Feedback	Summary and response from a founder of COSTA22 Philip van Notten

13.00-14.00	Lunch

14.00-15.30	Parallel Sessions SLOT I	STRAND 1: Emergence, replication and anticipation in social systems Chair: Ted Fuller, Rapporteur Philip van Notten An Introduction to the Ontology of Anticipation, Roberto Poli Exploring cultural frame change: Towards a capacity to co-create the next form of human civilization by modeling the evolution of human consciousness and culture, Ruben Nelson Constructing futures: A social constructionist perspective on foresight methodology, Ted Fuller and Krista Loogma
		STRAND 2: Windows on the seeds of change Chair: Ulrik Joergensen – Rapporteur Sandro Mendonca Perspectives in understanding weak signals, Mari Holopainen Management's ability to foresee emerging signs of a strategic change, Anita Lehtinen-Toivola e-Government 2015: exploring m-Government scenarios, between technology-driven experiments and citizen-centric implications, Gianluca Misuraca
		STRAND 3: Theorizing about Foresight Methodology Chair: Emmanuel Koukios – Rapporteur Bartolomeo Sapio Forms of reasoning in pattern management and in strategic intelligence, Tuomo Kuosa Bridging qualitative and quantitative methods in foresight, Matthias K. B. LüdekeMicro-meso-macro. From the heritage of the Oracle to foresight, Peter Alacs
		STRAND 4: Policy and Decision Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Peter De Smedt Can negotiating the future influence policy and social change?, Peter De Smedt The Slovak Foresight Programme, Edita Nemcová Developing Participatory Foresight Systems and Activities at Regional Level Administration in Finland: How to Boost the Implementation of the Lisbon Strategy at the Regional and National Levels in Europe?, Jouni Marttinen and Jari Kaivo-oja
15.30-16.00	Coffee Break
16.00-17.30	Parallel Sessions SLOT II	STRAND 1: Emergence, replication and anticipation in social systems (continued) Chair: Ted Fuller, Rapporteur Philip van Notten Considering Foresight as an intervention within an already existing future oriented debate: renewing the approach for the design, implementation and evaluation of foresights?, Sebastian Treyer Tentative considerations about the assessment of panel-based foresight methods. Lessons from focus groups in social research, Simone Arnaldi Group discussion: What is the practical value of foresight theory?
		STRAND 2: Struggling with systemic approaches Chair: Pierre Rossel – Rapporteur Ulrik Jørgensen Introducing seed of change: Exploring new way to explore the future, Jari Kaivo-oja, Sandro Mendonça On contexts and their dynamics, Karl-Heinz Simon Philosophical tools for dealing with unexpected events and developments, Otto Wolf
		STRAND 3: System Content Issues Chair: Ioannis Psarras – Bartolomeo SapioScenario transfer methodology and technology, Bartolomeo Sapio and Enrico Nicolo’ Integrating GIS and fuzzy logic for scenario analysis in foresight, Hatzichristos T. and Giaoutzi M. Foresight of innovative energy technologies through a linguistic multi criteria approach, Doukas, H., Papadopoulou, A.G. and J.Psarras
		STRAND 4: Policy and Decision (continued) Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Peter De Smedt The future in the stars – European Policy Making and The exploration of the future, Karin van der Ven Scenario as a tool for integrated coastal zone and water resources management, Alexandra Mexa, Giorgos Kallis, Dionyssia Hatzilacou and Harris Russian Industry-Energy Foresight, Vladimir Nikitaev and Georgy Afanasyev

Evening: Open Social Evening

July 10 (Day Two)

9.30-11.00	Parallel SessionsSLOT III	STRAND 1: Learning methodology from foresight in practice Chair: Zia Zardar - Rapporteur Harry Rothman Reflexive foresight for innovation: Learning from science and technology studies, Philine Warnke Linking futures research with management science: improving innovation and strategy processes within companies, Patrick van der Duin & Erik den Hartigh A social shaping of technology (SST) approach to technology foresight, Michael Søgaard Jørgensen, Ulrik Jørgensen and Christian Clausen
		STRAND 2: Framing perspectives on futures Chair: Riel Miller – Rapporteur Jari Kaivo-oja Using semiotics and metaphors for identifying signs of change, Rutta Ruttas-Kuttim Experts and disciplines – sources of change and the construction of visions in foresight studies, Ulrik Jørgensen Meta-framing: the art of putting weak signals in perspective, Pierre Rossel
		STRAND 3: Approaches and their Tools (I)Chair: Matthias Ludeke – Rapporteur Bartolomeo Sapio Scenario planning as a tool in foresight exercises: A methodological framework, Stratigea A. and M. Giaoutzi Foresight at a contract research organisation: Linking stakeholders and methods in participatory processes, Totti Könnölä, Toni Ahlqvist, Annele Eerola, Sirkku Kivisaari, and Raija Koivisto Foresight for multi-country and sub-national regions in developing countries, Ana Morato and Modesto Escobar
		STRAND 4: Learning and Knowledge Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Tamas Kristóf Learning theory and its application in foresight practice, Tamas Kristóf Will entrepreneurship, knowledge management and foresight emerge in a system?, Arturs Puga Towards a new foresight approach for the ICT development process, Lieven De Marez and Katrien De Moor

11.00-11.30	Coffee Break

11.30-13.00	Parallel Sessions SLOT IV	STRAND 1: Learning methodology from foresight in practice (continued) Chair: Zia Zardar - Rapporteur Harry Rothman Foresight and innovation: How far can we see?, Igor Gazdík Foresight Lacquer: Layering futures tools to amplify impact (case study), Wendy L Schultz Tool transfer, appropriate adaptation? The use of Delphi in National Science and Technology Foresight Exercises, Ozcan Saritas and Michael Keenan
		STRAND 2: Experimenting futures and emergence Chair: Jari Kaivo-oja – Rapporteur Riel Miller The futures window, a new method for presenting visual weak signals in organizational environment, Elina Hiltunen Business wargaming: developing foresight within a strategic simulation , Jan Oliver Schwarz
		STRAND 3: Approaches and their Tools (II) Chair: Ana Morato – Rapporteur Jan Erik Karlsen Opportunities for combining quantitative and qualitative approaches in scenario-building (The experience of the “Estonia 2010” project), Erik Terk Is new economic research more qualitative?, Jana Gasparíková Do U.S. and EU-15 countries meet the Kyoto targets till 2012? Exploring numbers and narratives for U.S. and European energy and climate policies, Teemu Haukioja and Jari Kaivo-oja
		STRAND 4: Learning and Knowledge (continued) Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Tamas Kristóf Scenarios for setting up research priorities, Karel Klusacek (20 min) STRAND 4: Dissemination Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Sandra Dingli Foresight:The dissemination and implementation of results of foresight activities, Sandra Dingli (30 min) The Greek Technology Foresight: The case of healthcare, health and quality of life: Links among technology assessment, foresight and strategic planning, Nikos Koukoumas and Demosthenes Agrafiotis (20 min) Foresight In The Nordic countries' research and innovation councils, Per Dannemand Andersen, Mads Borup, Thorvald Finnbjörnsson and Thomas Malmér (20 min)

13.00-14.00	Lunch

14.00-15.30	Parallel SessionsSLOT V	STRAND 1 and STRAND 2: Workshop on Futures literacyChair: Riel Miller, Ulrik Jørgensen and Pierre Rossel
		Organised by Riel Miller, Ulrik Jørgensen and Pierre RosselOpen to all conference participants
		STRAND 3: Chair: John Mourmouris - Rapporteur Peter Alacs Technology foresight as a policy tool for sustainable development in the knowledge society: Lessons from the Greece 2001-2021 Foresight Exercise, Emmanuel G. Koukios Development of foresight methodology in Poland verified by the example of nanotechnology, Anna Sacio-Szymanska, Adam Mazurkiewicz and Beata Poteralska Towards a classification of tools and approaches applicable in foresight studies, Jan E. Karlsen
		STRAND 4: Participation Chair : Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Serge Stalpers Stakeholder participation and dialogue in foresight, Ozcan Saritas, Lisa Pace and Serge Stalpers (30 min) Dialogue in foresight: Consensus, conflict and negotiation, Kristian Borch and Fredesvinda Mérida (20 min) Dialogues on air pollution: An Asian example, Carolien Kroeze and Serge Stalpers (20 min) Utilisation of Delphi based future information in agri-technology foresight, Pasi Rikkonen (20 min)

16.00-17.30	Parallel Sessions SLOT VI	STRAND 1 and STRAND 2: Workshop on Futures literacy (continued) Chair: Riel Miller, Ulrik Jørgensen and Pierre Rossel
		Organised by Riel Miller, Ulrik Jørgensen and Pierre RosselOpen to all conference participants
		STRAND 3: Chair: Jan Erik Karlsen - Rapporteur Ana Morato Willingness-to-use models for climate policy, Serge Stalpers Models of change, with key examples from the future studies field: A foresight tool to aid policy-makers, Linda Groff
		STRAND 4: Participation (Continued) Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Serge Stalpers The dialogue of cultures, civilizations, and religions: Tools for an interdependent world, Linda Groff (20 min) The role of support group in the polish national foresight programme, Anna Kononiuk, Andrzej Magruk, Joanicjusz Nazarko (20 min) STRAND 4: Vision Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Michael Søgaard Jørgensen Visions and visioning in foresight activities, Michael Jørgensen and Dan Grosu (30 min) The lack of transition strategy and a development strategy of Serbia, Miroljub Hadžic (20 min)

16.30-17.00	Organization Meeting	Working Group: Leaders and rapporteurs
17.00-18.00	Executive Management Committee

20.00-23.00 : Conference Dinner in Varkiza - Athens

July 11 (Day Three)

09.30-11.30	Parallel SessionsSLOT VII	STRAND 1: Workshop: Paths to methodological development in foresight and futures, what is needed now? Chair: Ted Fuller - Rapporteur Atilla Havas
		STRAND 2: Cases on envisioning futures Chair: Kostis Koutsopoulos - Rapporteur Ruuta Ruttas-Kuttim Exploring seeds of change within the actualization process of future images for Hungary, Eva Hideg, Erzsebet Novaky and Andras Vag Constructing the future of the Web 2.0, exploring the seeds of change as a system, Olivier Glassey Strand 2 closing remarks (30 min)
		STRAND 4: Vision (continued) Chair: Kristian Borch - Rapporteur Michael Søgaard Jørgensen The future of stem cell research, Peter Plougmann (20 min) Thinking about the futures for Universities: Alternative futures for the EU, ERIA and EU universities, Attila Havas (20 min) Experiencing futures, Nik Baerten, Nicole Rijkens-Klomp and Michael van Lieshout (20 min)

11.00-11.30	Coffee Break

11.30-13.00	Plenary	Closing and Future Chair: Peter De Smedt – Rapporteur Michael Søgaard Jørgensen Reports from chairs and rapporteurs from each Strand. The concluding Key Messages of COSTA22.Discussion: The Futures of Foresight: One Community or Many? Close of conference - Ted Fuller and Maria Giaoutzi