AG2020: Foresight Analysis for World Agricultural Markets (2020) and Europe

http://www.AG2020.risoe.dk

SIXTH FRAMEWORK PROGRAMME
PRIORITY 1
Sustainable Management of Europe’s Natural Resources

Duration: 2007-2009

Scientific Responsible: Prof. Maria Giaoutzi (giaoutsi@central.ntua.gr)

The Project Objectives

- To develop a foresight methodology enabling the study of the various types of agricultural systems and their specific challenges and constraints, in the EU countries

- To identify and analyse trends and influential factors (drivers of change) by use of participatory approaches, that may influence the possible future developments of EU agriculture in the various countries. These include combination of both quantitative and qualitative data by way of scenario methods using indicators and stakeholder validation

- To develop strategic policy scenarios (backcasting) based on the identified major drivers of change for the impact assessment of the probable and desirable future directions of agriculture, including multifunctionality of rural areas and emergence of new agricultural exporting regions for the effective enforcement of the proposed alternative sets of policies

- To develop indicators of EU sustainability targets in order to evaluate the different policies on a regular basis and to perform sensitivity analysis to policy scenarios on a regional basis

Partners

1. Risø National Laboratory, Technical University of Denmark, Frederiksborgvej 399, DK-4000 Roskilde, (RISOE), Denmark (Project Leader)
2. University of Applied Science Weihenstephan, Schulgasse 18, 94315 Straubing, (UAS), Germany
3. Danish Meteorological Institute, Lyngbyvej 100, 2100 København, (DMI), Denmark
4. Landbouw-Economisch Instituut (LEI), Burgemeester Patijnlaan 19, 2585, The Hague, (LEI), The Netherlands
5. National Technical University of Athens, Heroon Polytechniou str. 8 - Zographou Campus 157 80 Athens, (NTUA), Greece
6. Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, University of Aarhus, Nordre Ringgade 1, 8000 Aarhus C, (DJF), Denmark
7. University of Antwerp, Prinsstraat 13, 2000 Antwerp, (UA), Belgium
8. AgroBioInstitute, blvd.Dragan Tsankov 8, 1116 Sofia, Bulgaria
9. University of Florence, Pzzale delle Cascine 18, 50122 Firenze, (UF), Italy
10. Metroeconomica, 108 Bloomfield Road, BA2 2AR Bath, (METRO), United Kingdom
11. International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K St., NW, 20006 Washington, DC, (IFPRI), USA
12. VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, (FEBA), The Netherlands
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, A. van Leeuwenhoeklaan 9, P.O. Box 303, 3720 AH Bilthoven, (MNP), The Netherlands